International student system of Australia is expected to grow by 3.7% based on existing market share, resulting in an additional 220,000 students in the country by 2030. The government has introduced several policy changes. It projects that if international student numbers continue to grow at this rate (3.7%), international student’s proportion will rise. However, domestic student enrollment increases at 1.8% annually.
This growth might lead to some universities having an equal ratio of domestic to international students (50:50). However, any deviation from this ratio could result in international students holding a larger share than domestic students in Australian universities. The government’s emphasis on quality over quantity in the smaller education sector is expected to drive this growth.
Following the pandemic, there is an uptick in international student enrollment within the Go8 (Group of Eight) universities in Australia. This increases student base from 32% to 38%. The analysis underscores the significant role total student population between the age of 18-22 play. In 2019, China had 85.9 million students in this age group, while India had 123.6 million. Surprisingly, despite the larger student population in India, China contributes 17% more international students to Australia.
Additionally, the analysis considers the potential benefit to the Australian education sector from African countries. There is a growing trend suggesting that several African nations, particularly Nigeria, will send more students to the country. Nigeria stands out due to its status as an English-speaking destination. The current migration patterns from Africa to Australia to further support the education sector. In summary, international student system is poised for substantial growth, driven by government policies, increased focus on quality education, and shifting demographic trends in countries like China, India, and various African nations. These factors are expected to shape the future landscape of international education in Australia.
